Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.179977 0.208266 0.239512 0.276581 0.319363 0.367195 0.424745
2025-10-19 0.137217 0.175568 0.222280 0.283357 0.361137 0.456932 0.583994
2025-10-26 0.112701 0.154652 0.209348 0.285870 0.390222 0.527679 0.722783
2025-11-02 0.094152 0.136805 0.195594 0.282519 0.407870 0.582295 0.843945
2025-11-09 0.078694 0.120165 0.180148 0.273198 0.414042 0.619565 0.942999
2025-11-16 0.070593 0.112688 0.176254 0.279182 0.441868 0.689549 1.096370
2025-11-23 0.063045 0.104807 0.170403 0.280864 0.462498 0.749949 1.240910
2025-11-30 0.057357 0.099001 0.166839 0.285293 0.487326 0.818718 1.405554
2025-12-07 0.050714 0.090675 0.158035 0.279723 0.494511 0.858849 1.526253
2025-12-14 0.045434 0.083981 0.151085 0.276263 0.504469 0.904006 1.659628
2025-12-21 0.041926 0.079979 0.148274 0.279607 0.526478 0.971831 1.839952
2025-12-28 0.040136 0.078893 0.150503 0.292251 0.566570 1.075726 2.097153
2026-01-04 0.037859 0.076684 0.150533 0.301005 0.600810 1.173337 2.355376
2026-01-11 0.035585 0.074219 0.149812 0.308241 0.632984 1.270559 2.624254
2026-01-18 0.033057 0.070916 0.147040 0.310975 0.656307 1.352637 2.871457
2026-01-25 0.030164 0.066497 0.141504 0.307331 0.665995 1.408094 3.069441
2026-02-01 0.026996 0.061109 0.133354 0.297194 0.660749 1.431998 3.202734
2026-02-08 0.025606 0.059456 0.132932 0.303701 0.692083 1.536051 3.521388
2026-02-15 0.023959 0.057028 0.130544 0.305531 0.713153 1.619871 3.803776
2026-02-22 0.022686 0.055308 0.129536 0.310347 0.741432 1.722303 4.139483
2026-03-01 0.020764 0.051828 0.124132 0.304290 0.743689 1.765878 4.341913
2026-03-08 0.019177 0.048977 0.119891 0.300527 0.750956 1.821661 4.579456
2026-03-15 0.018184 0.047487 0.118736 0.304164 0.776605 1.923451 4.940674